Who will win the Premier League title? Predictions, odds, picks for 2024 race between Liverpool, Man City, Arsenal

The 2023/24 Premier League title race promises to treat fans with the best finish to an English top flight campaign in recent memory as the league enters the home stretch with three clubs neck-and-neck at the top.

Liverpool, Arsenal, and Manchester City all remain firmly within the hunt, residing within a three-point margin at the top of the table.

After the scoreless draw against Man City and Arsenal which brought March to a close, the three contenders no longer have any games left against one another, meaning a champion will be crowned over the final nine games left in the season against other opposition.


As the teams jockey for position, The Sporting News brings you an updated and detailed look at who has the best shot to finish on top, and who could fall flat as the season winds to a close.

USA: Get the latest odds and bet the 2024 Premier League title winner at BetMGM

Odds to win the Premier League title in 2024

Liverpool have the lead in the three-horse title race at the start of April, with the Reds holding a slim two-point margin atop the table and nine matches to go. Jurgen Klopp has logged one of his best managerial jobs to date, navigating a slew of injuries to keep the side afloat with a litany of late comebacks and thrilling finishes.

While Manchester City sit third in the Premier League standings with nine games left in the 2023/24 season, it is Arsenal who the betting market has the least faith in at this juncture. The two played to a scoreless draw to close out March, and with none of these three teams set to meet any more this season, the title will be decided at the expense of others across the English top flight.

Standings current as of results on Sunday, March 31. Odds current as of Tuesday, April 2 before today’s matches.

Pos Team MP Pts W-L-D GD Title Odds
(BetMGM)
1. Liverpool 29 67 20-7-2 +40 +120
2. Arsenal 29 65 20-5-4 +46 +250
3. Man City 29 64 19-7-3 +35 +180

 

Remaining fixtures for Man City, Arsenal, and Liverpool

The 2023/24 Premier League title race will be decided in matches against other opponents, as the three clubs remaining in the hunt with nine games to go no longer have any games against one another remaining on the calendar.

Common opponents for all three clubs left on the list include Aston Villa and Tottenham, both contenders for Champions League places, while defensively adept Wolves must also still meet all three title challengers. Man United, Fulham, Luton Town, Everton, and Crystal Palace are just some of the clubs left for two of the three, while Arsenal also have a game against Chelsea still to go.

Below are the fixtures for each club from Matchweek 31 on, plus any remaining postponed fixtures, now that all three clubs have no more remaining matches against one another on the schedule.

Of note, all three clubs had Matchweek 29 fixtures postponed due to conflicts with the FA Cup quarterfinals. Additionally, Man City have seen their Matchweek 34 fixture against Tottenham postponed due to their progression to the semifinals of the FA Cup, while both Arsenal and Liverpool were eliminated and therefore can contest their league fixtures at that time. 

Week Man City Arsenal Liverpool
Matchweek 31 vs. Aston Villa vs. Luton Town vs. Sheffield United
Matchweek 32 at Crystal Palace at Brighton at Man United
Matchweek 33 vs. Luton Town vs. Aston Villa vs. Crystal Palace
Matchweek 34 at Tottenham** at Wolves at Fulham
Matchweek 29 at Brighton* vs. Chelsea* at Everton*
Matchweek 35 at Nottingham Forest at Tottenham at West Ham
Matchweek 36 vs. Wolves vs. Bournemouth vs. Tottenham
Matchweek 37 at Fulham at Man United at Aston Villa
Matchweek 38 vs. West Ham vs. Everton vs. Wolves

* Match rescheduled from earlier in season due to conflict with the FA Cup quarterfinals.
** Match postponed due to conflict with another competition, with no date currently scheduled.

Who will win the 2024 Premier League title? Predictions, picks

Initially published with nine matches to go in the Premier League campaign, this section will display both an initial prediction of who will win the title, as well as an updated pick as the end of the season draws closer. Those looking to place futures wagers can see how the course of the title race has progressed and where it sits currently.


Premier League title prediction — April 2, 2024 (9 matches remaining)

  • Title prediction: Arsenal
  • Odds: +250 (BetMGM)

The run-in across the final nine matches slightly favours Manchester City, but it’s hard to ignore the value on Arsenal to win the title, considered least likely at this stage despite sitting second, a point above Man City, and in better overall form.

Man City’s attack has subsided, with Erling Haaland slumping (by his standards), while defenders and midfielders succumb to injury. Liverpool continue to play with fire at the end of matches, and at what point will their own injury problems become too much for even managerial hero Jurgen Klopp?

Of the three remaining contenders, Arsenal are in the most consistent form and boast the fittest overall squad. They lack a true goal scoring striker, which has cost them on various occasions as Gabriel Jesus struggles to finish chances, but they have the creative talent to make up for it, and they seem to have risen above the mental frailties which cost them in recent years. Oh, and the Gunners hold the goal differential advantage as well, by a good six over Liverpool and 11 better than Man City — in a race this tight, that very well could come into play.

If you’re inclined to wait and let things play out, you’ll get more clarity as the weeks go by, but with additional information comes less return — if you’re making a selection with nine matches to play, take the Gunners with the best value.

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