PFF previews the 13 NFL video games forward in Week 10, taking a fantasy soccer and betting method to supply perception for each NFL fan.

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Los Angeles Chargers @ Oakland Raiders

Gamers to Watch
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Josh Jacobs got here into the league touted as a wonderful receiver, and perhaps he’s, however we’ve seen little or no signal of it. Jacobs has had a keep on 54.9% of his snaps performed this yr (152 of 277)— amongst operating backs with no less than 200 snaps performed, that’s third-most, within the vary of famous receiving vacuums Sony Michel (first), Adrian Peterson (second) and Derrick Henry (fourth). However right here’s the rub: It doesn’t actually matter. Jacobs has PFF’s prime dashing grade (90.5) and is sixth within the league in dashing yards. Extra receiving could be good, however he’s been a fantasy assist regardless.

Betting Preview

After opening as a choose ’em, the Thursday evening motion in California has moved in the direction of the Chargers as one-point favorites. Greenline initiatives that this line ought to proceed transferring in the direction of our 15th-ranked Chargers squad. With two offenses ranked within the prime 5, now we have seen this complete proceed to maneuver out from the opening 47.5. If it continues to rise Greenline sees worth on a sure facet on the entire, as nicely. 

Detroit Lions @ Chicago Bears

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It hasn’t been the rookie season individuals have been hoping for out of David Montgomery when he was going as excessive because the third spherical in fantasy drafts, however the rookie has turned issues on of late. After not topping 14 PPR factors in any of his first six video games, Montgomery has put up 24.7 and 22.6 the final two weeks, not coincidentally the primary two occasions all season he’s topped a 70% offensive snap share. In opposition to a Detroit workforce permitting probably the most PPR factors per recreation to operating backs this yr, Montgomery might maintain it rolling.

Betting Preview

This NFC North matchup that had a lot extra intrigue earlier than the season start. The Bears have limped ahead with the second-worst offensive rating within the NFL. Bettors clearly aren’t overjoyed backing the Bears, as they’ve dropped from a discipline aim favourite right down to -2.5. If you happen to can abdomen backing Trubisky, Greenline leans towards the house favourite with a doable play additionally creating on the over. 

Baltimore Ravens @ Cincinnati Bengals

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How massive a distinction can Marcus Peters make? The Ravens DST put up solely 4.Three fantasy factors per recreation (fifth-worst) via Week 6. The workforce acquired Peters in a commerce earlier than Week 7, and in two video games since (in opposition to the potent Seattle and New England offenses, no much less), has put up 15.5 fantasy factors per recreation, tied for second and solely a hair out of first. In opposition to Ryan Finley making his first NFL begin this week, the Ravens DST is a must-stream in fantasy.

Betting Preview

Baltimore dominated our top-ranked workforce on Sunday Night time Soccer however have been wager down on this week’s AFC North matchup in opposition to the 32nd-ranked Bengals. After a gap print at 11.5, this quantity has shifted in the direction of the Bengals and crossed the important thing quantity 10. The road is at present sitting at 9.5 factors for the house canine. This quantity falls in keeping with Greenline projections, however a doable play awaits on the entire, which hasn’t moved far sufficient to the draw back. 

Buffalo Payments @ Cleveland Browns

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The subsequent time Baker Mayfield throws for a number of touchdowns in a recreation would be the first time since Week 17 of final yr. The Browns are the one workforce within the league with out two landing passes in a recreation all season, and Mayfield is averaging 204 passing yards a recreation over the past month. This week, he attracts a Buffalo protection that has held opposing quarterbacks to underneath 10 fantasy factors in three of their final 5 video games.

Betting Preview

This matchup options two evenly matched groups with each offenses within the backside half of our league rankings. The Browns have held robust as field-goal favorites with Greenline giving them a 60.4% win chance. Each the unfold and complete fall in keeping with Greenline projections, making this recreation one to keep away from from each a viewing and betting perspective. 

Atlanta Falcons @ New Orlean Saints

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On the one hand, Matt Ryan is anticipated to return to motion in Week 10 after lacking Week Eight and having a Week 9 bye. On the opposite, the Saints matchup isn’t almost as interesting for fantasy because it was early within the yr. The Saints allowed greater than 30 fantasy factors per recreation to opposing quarterbacks in Weeks 1-Three however has allowed underneath 10 per recreation since. What modified? Effectively, amongst different issues, Marshon Lattimore remembered he was good. Lattimore struggled mightily within the season’s first three weeks, placing up a 58.5 defensive grade and permitting a 140.6 passer score in protection. Since then, the Saints bought him again to shadowing, and his grade has ballooned to 72.5, whereas that passer score allowed has fallen to 44.8.

Betting Preview

Drew Brees is formally again for the second-best workforce within the NFL. The Falcons hopefully put some issues in place to extend their offensive manufacturing over their bye week. Bettors have been backing the Falcons early with the Saints opening as two-touchdown favorites. The quantity has been wager right down to -12.5 with Greenline discovering little worth within the unfold or complete. 

New York Giants @ New York Jets

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The Jets are the one workforce within the league to not but attain 100 factors scored on the season. From a scoring perspective, the Jets have been a catastrophe throughout the board. They’re tied with Washington for a league-low 11 touchdowns, the fewest additional factors within the league (7, fewest by 2) and the fewest discipline targets (5, fewest by 1). The lone space of very gentle constructive information? The Jets are one in all solely six groups to transform a number of two-point conversions. Regardless, there isn’t a lot constructive to remove from the Jets’ offense on the entire, and that filters right down to the person gamers as nicely.

Betting Preview

The battle of New York is organising as a spirited bout between our 31st-ranked Giants and the 29th-ranked Jets. The Jets have the worst offensive rating within the NFL with the Giants having the second-worst defensive rating. One thing has to provide however, sadly, that is one other spot the place Greenline falls in keeping with present betting consensus numbers. That is one other recreation to keep away from from each a viewing and betting perspective. 

Arizona Cardinals @ Tampa Bay Buccaneers

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The Cardinals have had a operating again put up a monster recreation in three of the final 4 weeks. That’s notable, after all, as a result of it’s been three completely different backs — David Johnson (28.2 PPR factors) in Week 6, Chase Edmonds (35.0) in Week 7 and Kenyan Drake (26.2) in Week 9. We’ll see who the workforce runs on the market for Week 10 (at present it seems Johnson and Drake will likely be lively, however not Edmonds), however both manner, issues get exhausting in opposition to a Tampa Bay run protection permitting the second-fewest PPR factors per recreation to the place.

Betting Preview

The very best complete on the slate, however this quantity has dropped from a gap 53.5 right down to 52 or 51.5 in spots. With each groups passing on 65% of performs, this can be a prime spot for fantasy manufacturing. The unfold is precisely priced, however the complete turns into playable if line looking for the appropriate value.  

Kansas Metropolis Chiefs @ Tennessee Titans

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Very quietly, since taking up because the Titans starter three weeks in the past, Ryan Tannehill is the No. 5 fantasy quarterback, lower than a degree behind Deshaun Watson for fourth. He’s thrown for six touchdowns, run for an additional and is top-eight within the league in makes an attempt, completions and yards. The Chiefs have allowed three of the final 4 and 5 of the final seven quarterbacks they’ve confronted to prime 20 fantasy factors, and if Patrick Mahomes returns, you possibly can anticipate the Titans to need to move to maintain up.

Betting Preview

The query continues to linger. When will Patrick Mahomes return for the fifth-ranked Chiefs? At present, the Chiefs are 12th in our offensive rating with the Titans 18th. If stories are unfavorable on Mahomes’ return, we might see this complete drop dramatically with Greenline already leaning underneath 48.5. 

Miami Dolphins @ Indianapolis Colts

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Brian Hoyer put up 15.Three fantasy factors in reduction of an injured Jacoby Brissett in Week 9, the second-most factors put up by a backup quarterback in a recreation all season behind solely Gardner Minshew in Week 1. This week, Hoyer (if Brissett can’t go) faces a Miami workforce that has allowed each single quarterback group it has confronted all yr to exceed its seasonal common, the one workforce to have carried out that for any place.

Betting Preview

Miami has now lined in 4 straight video games with bettors piling on the over two touchdowns opening print, pounding the road right down to a present -10 value. If hoping to wager this recreation, it ought to have been carried out earlier, however the complete has some potential worth with extra factors anticipated than what the present market initiatives. 

Carolina Panthers @ Inexperienced Bay Packers

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It’s straightforward to be disenchanted in Davante Adams’ return to the lineup in Week 9 since he solely had 41 yards and didn’t discover the tip zone. That stated, there have been causes for optimism. Even after a month off, Adams comfortably led the workforce in targets with 11 (Jamaal Williams was second at 6, and Allen Lazard’s Four was the one different receiver with greater than 2) and hauled in seven catches. You’d anticipate a participant of Adams’ caliber to show a 7-of-11 line into greater than 41 yards more often than not. Higher days are forward for the first-rounder.

Betting Preview

The Packers nonetheless rank fourth offensively regardless of their struggles to maneuver the ball final week. With each defenses in our prime 10 rankings, this complete of 47.5 might slide to the underneath. That is one other instance of needing to verify Greenline early within the week with this complete probably turning into unplayable if the road motion continues from market-leading bookmakers. 

Los Angeles Rams @ Pittsburgh Steelers

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Sandwiched round accidents to Cooper Kupp, Josh Reynolds performed 40 or extra offensive snaps in eight video games final yr. In these eight weeks, he was WR28 with 319 yards and 5 touchdowns and 10.Eight PPR factors per recreation. No monster traces in there, however positively related for fantasy. He’s one of many closest issues now we have to a large receiver handcuff within the league, and with Brandin Cooks coping with yet one more concussion, Reynolds might see a giant position in Week 10 if Cooks can’t go.

Betting Preview

Greenline provides the Rams a 62.5% win chance as 3.5-point highway favorites in Pittsburgh. The Steelers have simply the 29th-ranked offensive unit, however each defenses on this matchup rank within the prime fourth of the NFL. The unfold seems nicely priced, however the complete might see some further motion with Greenline leaning in the direction of the underneath on the present 44.5 value. 

Minnesota Vikings @ Dallas Cowboys

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In non-PPR scoring, for non-quarterbacks, 10 fantasy factors is a pleasant threshold for “good recreation.” It means 100 scrimmage yards or 40-plus yards and a landing. It doesn’t denote a monster outing, but it surely does signify a participant you’re by no means unhappy you used. After Monday, Ezekiel Elliott has performed 48 video games in his profession and put up 10-plus non-PPR factors in a whopping 45 of them, a 93.8% price that’s miles forward of the subsequent greatest within the league. Elliott’s weekly ceiling would possibly bounce round, however there’s nobody within the league, perhaps ever, with the next flooring.

Betting Preview

Sunday evening showcases two groups in competition for playoff spots within the NFC. Each offenses rank within the prime 10, and each defenses rank within the prime half of the league. That is an evenly matched recreation with Greenline giving the Cowboys a 58.7% win chance. 

Seattle Seahawks @ San Francisco 49ers

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Within the final 80 years, there have been 5 examples of an NFL quarterback having no less than 10 passing touchdowns and one or zero interceptions: Steve Younger (10/0) in 1987, Damon Huard (11/1) in 2006, and Josh McCown (13/1) in 2013 are three of them. The opposite two are this yr, with Patrick Mahomes sitting at a 15/1 line and Russell Wilson operating roughshod over the league at 22/1. Odds are closely stacked in opposition to both of this yr’s examples making this work all season lengthy, but it surely’s been an excellent run to date. In opposition to a San Francisco protection that’s one in all 4 within the league with double-digit interceptions, Wilson faces his hardest take a look at but in Week 10.

Betting Preview

Monday Night time Soccer incorporates a matchup of the 2 groups atop the NFC West. The 49ers opened as landing favorites however have slid right down to -6 with Greenline leaning in the direction of the Seahawks. The whole might proceed to maneuver with no actual discernible worth on the present 46.5 value. An intriguing play could possibly be the Seahawks moneyline if discovered at +230 or higher. 

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