Now by means of Week 9 of the 2019 NFL season, we at PFF have up to date our energy rankings utilizing PFFELO.
Like several ELO system, it adjusts the rating of a crew after every recreation primarily based on what occurred within the recreation and the perceived strengths of the crew and its opponent previous to the sport. Versus most different ELO methods, PFF ELO doesn’t use the ultimate rating to replace the rankings. As an alternative, we compute what the ultimate rating ought to have been primarily based on the participant grades. Thus the predictive energy of our grades carries over to a powerful predictive energy of our ELO rankings, although we must always observe that different variables go into our season-long or game-by-game projections.
1. New England Patriots
Final Week: 1st
New England nonetheless holds onto the highest spot in PFF’s ELO system regardless of the crew’s loss to Baltimore on Sunday Night time Soccer in Week 9. That’s to not say the Patriots are with out query marks on the offensive aspect of the ball. Tom Brady & Co. nonetheless rank simply 18th in EPA per play, 28th in yards per play and 12th in scoring drive proportion getting into Week 10. The protection, nevertheless, continues to be the very best within the NFL. Invoice Belichick’s protection nonetheless ranks first in EPA per play allowed and yards per play allowed after Lamar Jackson‘s area day.
2. New Orleans Saints
Final Week: 2nd
The Saints stand pat at No. 2 after a Week 9 bye, however they’ve a legit declare to being the very best crew within the NFL due to a deep and well-rounded roster. One duo that can look to hold over some momentum from previous to the bye is Eli Apple and Marshon Lattimore. After a tough begin to the season, each cornerbacks rank among the many prime 20 gamers on the place in protection grade since Week 4 (min. 100 protection snaps), and neither has allowed greater than 45 receiving yards in a recreation over that stretch.
3. San Francisco 49ers
Final Week: third
The 49ers’ protection gave up a season-high 25 factors to the Cardinals on Thursday night time, however their offense – led by a stellar efficiency from Jimmy Garoppolo – picked them up. The latest member of that offense, Emmanuel Sanders, is already making a distinction in a passing assault that was lacking a real prime choice at vast receiver. His 9 targets had been two greater than any 49ers wideout had obtained in a single week all season, and his 112 receiving yards had been 26 greater than any single-game complete previous to Week 9.
4. Baltimore Ravens
Final Week: sixth
Lamar Jackson and the Ravens bounce from fourth to sixth following the crew’s upset win over the Patriots in Week 9. The Jackson-led is unconventional, but it surely’s undoubtedly working. Baltimore enters Week 10 ranked first in EPA per play, fifth in yards per play and second in scoring drive proportion. Working backs don’t matter, however Jackson positive does.
5. Kansas Metropolis Chiefs
Final Week: eighth
Even with Patrick Mahomes sidelined, Andy Reid and his Chiefs pulled off an upset win over the Vikings in Week 9 and climbed as much as No. 5 in ELO in consequence. Reid is the NFL’s finest offensive play-caller proper now, and Mahomes’ nomadic knee cap isn’t going to vary that. Matt Moore and the Chiefs’ offense averaged 6.5 yards per play within the crew’s upset win in Week 9, the sixth-best determine of any offense this previous week.
6. Minnesota Vikings
Final Week: 4th
It’s arduous to argue that there was a warmer crew within the month of October than the Vikings, who raced out to a 4-Zero document within the month with standout performances from Kirk Cousins and Eric Kendricks, each of whom earned Participant of the Month honors right here at PFF. The calendar turned final week, although, and so did the fortune of the Vikings. Matt Moore and the Chiefs gave the Vikings a style of their very own medication, utilizing play-action to go 9-for-10 for 113 yards and a landing in opposition to the Minnesota protection.
7. Los Angeles Rams
Final Week: seventh
After ending the 2018 common season because the second-ranked offense within the NFL primarily based on EPA per play, the Rams have dropped to 13th this season, which is a big cause they haven’t been part of the “finest crew within the NFC” dialog that many anticipated them to be in. One participant that actually hasn’t been chargeable for the offensive downturn is Cooper Kupp in his return from damage. Kupp’s 2.68 yards per route run rank fourth amongst all gamers with 200 or extra routes, and he has dropped only one move on 84 targets.
8. Houston Texans
Final Week: 12th
A darkhorse to win league MVP in 2019, Deshaun Watson took the Texans from No. 12 to No. Eight together with his efficiency within the crew’s Week 9 win over Gardner Minshew and the Jaguars. Watson at present ranks 10th in PFF passing grade from a clear pocket (85.2) and sixth in PFF passing grade below strain (65.8).
9. Inexperienced Bay Packers
Final Week: fifth
The frontrunners within the NFC North – the Inexperienced Bay Packers – weren’t spared from the carnage of the division on Sunday. The Packers’ efficiency was particularly disappointing contemplating their offense struggled to maneuver the ball in any respect in opposition to a Chargers protection that ranked 24th in EPA allowed per play coming into Week 9. Rodgers averaged simply 4.6 passing yards per try, his lowest complete since Week Eight of the 2015 season (min. 10 move makes an attempt).
10. Philadelphia Eagles
Final Week: ninth
Given the aggressive nature of the NFC, the Eagles will possible have to win the NFC East as a way to return to the postseason. Which means they must benefit from the alternatives given to them like they did in opposition to Mitchell Trubisky and the Bears. The information that Desean Jackson can be heading to Injured Reserve following core muscle surgical procedure places a damper on the thrill from back-to-back wins, nevertheless. Jackson has two receptions for 104 yards and two touchdowns on passes 20 or extra yards downfield. The one participant on the Eagles with extra receptions or receiving yards on deep passes is operating again Miles Sanders.
11. Dallas Cowboys
Final Week: 10th
Dak Prescott is having a profession 12 months this season – coming in as PFF’s sixth highest-graded quarterback – and loads of that has to do with him performing properly from a career-high proportion of fresh pockets. He has taken a step ahead when below strain, although, as properly. Final season, Prescott took a sack as soon as each 11 dropbacks (sixth-worst fee within the NFL). This season, he takes sacks as soon as each 29 dropbacks (third-best fee within the NFL). That elimination of the sacks from his recreation has the Cowboys averaging 6.Three yards per pressured dropback, which is the very best amongst all NFL offenses.
12. Pittsburgh Steelers
Final Week: 11th
Pittsburgh’s offense isn’t the identical with out Ben Roethlisberger and the remainder of the Killer Bs. A mix of Mason Rudolph and world champion duck caller (Devlin Hodges) have the Steelers getting into Week 10 ranked simply 27th in EPA per play and 20th in yards per play. It’s improved play from Bud Dupree, T.J. Watt and the remainder of Steelers’ protection that has the crew ranked 12th in ELO by means of Week 9. Pittsburgh at present ranks fifth in EPA per play allowed and second in strain proportion on protection.
13. Seattle Seahawks
Final Week: 14th
Russell Wilson by no means actually left the MVP dialog this season, however his Week 9 efficiency in opposition to the Buccaneers is a reminder that, as of now, Wilson needs to be the favourite. Wilson picked up 5 big-time throws within the recreation, which brings his complete on the season to 27 (highest amongst all quarterbacks). Maybe essentially the most spectacular side of Wilson’s recreation, although, has been his means to create below strain. On the season, his general grade of 87.9 when below strain is over 10 factors greater than the following closest quarterback.
14. Indianapolis Colts
Final Week: 13th
Jacoby Brissett has been good, not nice taking part in in Andrew Luck‘s stead. And the protection hasn’t been a whole catastrophe regardless of missing expertise in a number of areas. The Colts rank contained in the top-20 in EPA per play and EPA per play allowed by means of Week 9. To climb the ranks, Brissett wants to chop down on the turnover-worthy performs and keep wholesome. He suffered a knee damage that pulled him out of the crew’s Week 9 bout with Pittsburgh and recorded three turnover-worthy performs within the crew’s 15-13 win over Denver.
15. Carolina Panthers
Final Week: 17th
The Panthers have continued to exceed expectations and churn out wins with Kyle Allen on the helm for the injured Cam Newton. With the information breaking that Newton is headed to IR, it seems that Allen will stay at quarterback for the rest of this season. Which means the offense will proceed to run by means of Christian McCaffrey and for good cause. McCaffrey is averaging over 2.5 yards earlier than contact on his makes an attempt. Among the many 20 operating backs with 100 or extra makes an attempt this season, McCaffrey ranks first in yards earlier than first contact per try (2.5). The solely different participant above 2.Zero yards earlier than contact per try is Phillip Lindsay.
16. Los Angeles Chargers
Final Week: 18th
Coming off fairly the upset in opposition to Inexperienced Bay, the Chargers confirmed they’re not ready to leave the playoff race simply but. Philip Rivers enters Week 10 ranked eighth in PFF passing grade (81.1) and ninth in adjusted completion proportion (77.5%). Rivers additionally leads an offense that ranks 11th in yards per play and 12th in yards per move play.
17. Chicago Bears
Final Week: 16th
There was a legit query as as to whether the Bears would end the primary half of their Week 9 contest with the Eagles with optimistic yardage at halftime, and that tells you about all you’ll want to know in regards to the present state of the Chicago offense. They merely don’t have any form of downfield passing assault to work with. Amongst all quarterbacks with 50 or extra move makes an attempt 10-plus yards downfield, Mitchell Trubisky’s adjusted completion proportion of 41.3% on these passes this season is third-worst, forward of solely Deshone Kizer in 2017 and Brett Hundley in 2017.
18. Tennessee Titans
Final Week: 15th
Ryan Tannehill has given new life to the Titans. He enters Week 10 ranked 11th in PFF passing grade (78.7) with eight big-time throws and 4 turnover-worthy performs. The Titans are nonetheless far off from competing for a title within the AFC South, but when Tannehill has proven us something, Marcus Mariota‘s days in Tennessee are restricted.
19. Buffalo Payments
Final Week: 21st
Josh Allen is holding the Payments again from a better spot on this checklist. He enters Week 10 ranked 26th in PFF passing grade (60.4) with 5 big-time throws and 14 turnover-worthy performs. He additionally ranks 28th in PFF passing grade on throws of 10-plus yards to date this season. Accuracy and roller-coaster decision-making proceed to be a priority for the second-year signal-caller, and it’s costing the Payments offensively.
20. Denver Broncos
Final Week: 20th
Brandon Allen wasn’t spectacular in his Broncos debut in opposition to Cleveland in Week 9, however he did end the sport with zero turnover-worthy performs and, most significantly, a tally within the win column. Second-year vast receiver Courtland Sutton hauled in a high quality contested catch for a landing within the crew’s win and continues to be a shiny spot for the crew, as properly.
21. Oakland Raiders
Final Week: 24th
The Raiders’ offense is vastly improved. Quarterback Derek Carr enters Week 10 ranked second in PFF passing grade, and he leads an offense that ranks sixth in EPA per play and fifth in yards per play. The issue is the Raiders’ protection is underperforming. Missing expertise at each stage, Oakland’s protection ranks 31st in EPA per play allowed, yards per play allowed and scoring drive proportion allowed. They’re permitting factors in droves and can want Carr’s finest to remain alive within the AFC.
22. Jacksonville Jaguars
Final Week: 19th
The Gardner Minshew expertise was worthwhile, however a fourth-quarter collapse in London together with the return of a now wholesome Nick Foles will ship the mustache to the bench. Minshew earned the 14th-best PFF passing grade (72.2) amongst qualifiers earlier than taking his abilities to the pine.
23. Cleveland Browns
Final Week: 22nd
Not quite a bit has gone proper for Baker Mayfield and the Browns this season. Mayfield ranks simply 20th in PFF passing grade (69.4) getting into Week 10. The Browns’ offense ranks simply 26th in EPA per play due largely to Mayfield’s regression and questionable efforts from first-year head coach Freddie Kitchens.
24. Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Final Week: 25th
The Buccaneers managed to lose one other shut affair in extra time to Russell Wilson and the Seahawks, as their protection unit wasn’t as much as the duty of going toe-to-toe with the MVP candidate. It’s a efficiency that Jamel Dean (9 receptions allowed on 14 targets for 155 yards and three touchdowns) and Vernon Hargreaves III (eight receptions allowed on 10 targets for 105 yards) would slightly overlook.
25. Detroit Lions
Final Week: 24th
It’s becoming that the Lions are sitting proper subsequent to the Buccaneers within the PFF ELO rankings as a result of there’s a actual argument that each groups could possibly be heading into Week 10 with just a few extra wins. Alas, they don’t seem to be, and the Lions dropped one other one-score recreation in Week 9 to a Raiders crew that has new life. That they had no reply to the Raiders’ passing assault (fourth-worst EPA per play allowed on the week) or speeding assault (third-worst EPA per play allowed).
26. Atlanta Falcons
Final Week: 26th
The Falcons have generated strain on simply 28% of opposing quarterback dropbacks by means of the primary 9 weeks of the season (worst fee within the NFL). They’re additionally permitting a passer ranking of 126.5 on focused move makes an attempt (worst fee within the NFL). Not getting strain and permitting quarterbacks to select aside your secondary just isn’t a recipe for fulfillment, and the Falcons are discovering that out first-hand this season.
27. Arizona Cardinals
Final Week: 27th
The Cardinals took a run at their undefeated divisional rivals in Week 9, however they couldn’t fairly end the comeback in opposition to the 49ers. Their secondary has been an space of concern, as they rank 29th in EPA allowed per move play, however the return of Patrick Peterson was alleged to assist in that division. It actually didn’t on Thursday Night time Soccer. Peterson allowed six receptions for 118 yards and a landing in what was one of many worst performances in his profession.
28. Washington Redskins
Final Week: 28th
Haskins bought the primary begin of his profession in Buffalo, and he responded together with his highest single-game grade of the season (57.8), albeit not being a excessive bar to clear together with his two earlier grades coming in at 36.Three and 46.7. Very similar to in faculty, Haskins carried out a lot better when given a clear pocket to work from. The Redskins averaged 5.Eight yards per play from a clear pocket (13th amongst Week 9 offenses) in comparison with 0.2 yards per play when Haskins was pressured (24th).
29. New York Jets
Final Week: 29th
Sam Darnold possible needs he had mono at this level within the Jets’ season. The second-year USC quarterback ranks 34th among the many 35 at his place with 100 or extra dropbacks on the 12 months in PFF passing grade (48.7). He has simply seven big-time throws to turnover-worthy performs. With Darnold underperforming and Gregg Williams’ protection not taking part in notably properly both, New York is in a nasty spot getting into Week 10.
30. Miami Dolphins
Final Week: 31st
Ryan Fitzmagic makes the Dolphins a bit extra enjoyable, however they’re nonetheless a methods away from being aggressive within the AFC. The crew enters Week 10 ranked 31st and 30th in EPA per play and EPA per play allowed, respectively.
31. New York Giants
Final Week: 30th
The 19-point defeat that the Giants took by the hands of Dallas on Monday night time is a bit deceiving on condition that the Giants had been within the recreation into the fourth quarter, however as soon as once more, they turned the ball over too many occasions to get better. For the season, the Giants have turned the ball over 22 occasions as an offense. That leads the NFL by a large margin.
32. Cincinnati Bengals
Final Week: 32nd
Cincinnati has benched Andy Dalton for rookie NC State product Ryan Finley. The crew’s offensive line is the worst in soccer. And the protection’s highest-graded participant (Geno Atkins) has only a 79.Four general grade by means of Week 9.