Napoli vs Inter Milan prediction, odds, betting tips and best bets for Italian Serie A match on Sunday

Last year’s defending champions host this year’s leading title contender as Napoli welcome Inter to the Stadio Maradona in Serie A play.

Inter sit on 32 points through the first 13 matches of the campaign, two points above Juventus and eight clear of fourth-placed Napoli. Last year’s title winners have slipped this year, already under new management as the club parted ways with Rudi Garcia earlier this month and brought in Walter Mazzarri to steer the ship.

Both teams faced adversity in the Champions League midweek, but played to differing outcomes. Inter fell 3-0 down to Benfica by halftime, but engineered a glorious comeback to secure a 3-3 draw. Meanwhile, Napoli gave Real Madrid a good fight, but tired in the final stage of the game and succumbed to a 4-2 defeat.

The league’s two best attacking units clash against opposing defenses also ranking amongst the highest in the Italian top flight. It promises to be an entertaining affair.

USA: Click here to see the latest odds for Napoli vs Inter and bet Serie A matches

Napoli vs Inter match facts

  • Date: Sunday, December 3, 2023
  • Kickoff time: 8:45 p.m. local (2:45 p.m. ET / 11:45 a.m. PT)
  • Location: Stadio Diego Maradona (Naples, Italy)
  • Official: Davide Massa
  • Last meeting: Napoli 3-1 Inter (May 21, 2023 | Serie A)

Napoli vs Inter prediction, odds

  • Moneyline lean: Draw (+230)
  • Score prediction: Napoli 2-2 Inter

Oddly, Napoli have put in some of their worst performance at home this season, defeated by Lazio, Fiorentina, and Empoli in league play as well as defeat to Real Madrid and a draw with Union Berlin in European action.

Yet they have shown improvement under Walter Mazzarri, able to top a pesky Atalanta side on the road before going toe-to-toe with Real Madrid for 75 minutes at the Bernabeu.

This match represents an opportunity to take the next step, and while it will be tough to put it all together this quickly, they should manage to secure a valuable point and peg Inter back in the title race.

  Napoli
win
Draw Inter
win
Both teams
to score Y / N
Over / Under
2.5 goals
ITN
-0.5
NAP
+0.5
DraftKings
(USA)
+185 +230 +140 -170 / +140 -135 / +100 +140 -170

Napoli vs Inter best bet

  • Pick: Over 3 total goals
  • Odds: +130 (DraftKings)

While these two clubs sport two of the best defensive units, they both showed significant vulnerabilities at the back in their midweek Champions League fixtures. Real Madrid tore Napoli to shreds on the counter, able to wear out the Italian side as the game went on and their goalkeeper faltered, while Inter were left shell-shocked as they headed to the locker room at halftime trailing 3-0 in Portugal.

Inter sport the league’s best defensive record, having conceded just seven goals thus far on 8.95 xGA, but they could be without Denzel Dumfries in addition to the absences of Benjamin Pavard and Alessandro Bastoni, a lengthy injury list to defensive players. On the flip side, Napoli should have Victor Osimhen back at the head of the attack, and even if he’s still not ready for a starting role, Giovanni Simeone looked a quality replacement in the midweek defeat.

These two don’t exactly have a history of playing barnburners, but occasionally they light it up, such as the 3-1 Napoli win last time they met, or a 3-2 thriller won by Inter at the San Siro in 2021.

Napoli vs Inter prop bet

  • Pick: Khvicha Kvaratskhelia to score or assist a goal
  • Odds: +105 (FanDuel)

Whether Napoli have Victor Osimhen back at the head of the attack or not, Georgian dribble whiz Khvicha Kvaratskhelia will be looking to lead the hosts in the attacking third. Kvaratskhelia’s four goals and three assists in league play this season put him right on pace to match last year’s impressive totals, and he’s probably due for even more.

Last time these two teams matched up, Kvaratskhelia was brilliant, tearing the since-departed Raoul Bellanova to shreds and unlucky not to score on his two efforts on target which were both saved well by Andre Onana. The Georgia international was also on his game midweek against Real Madrid, creating a combined 0.69 xG+xA while battling the experienced Dani Carvajal.

Kvaratskhelia has lots of creative weight on his shoulders, deployed on the side with the more defensive-minded Juan Jesus rather than the opposite wing which sees plenty of joy for right-back Giovanni Di Lorenzo. This means he has plenty of volume to work with, making this play a profitable one.

Napoli vs Inter live stream, TV channel in USA

The entirety of the 2023/24 Serie A season can be found exclusively on Paramount+ in the United States.

While some matches may be chosen for television coverage on one of CBS’s network of channels, this match has been left for streaming only.

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