Every team’s real chances of winning Super Bowl 58

The 2023-24 NFL playoffs are finally here. Fourteen teams are left to compete for a trip to Super Bowl 58 in Las Vegas, and although there are a lot of familiar powerhouses in the NFC and AFC brackets, there are also several fresh party-crashers taking their best shot to win it all.

There are clear favorites and long shots, but there are also some teams in between that have a wide range of outcomes from quick exits to deep runs. History also shows that everything doesn’t tend to play out according to seeds, as the playoffs provide a clean slate from the regular season.

Here’s looking at every playoff team’s chances of ending the playoffs with Super Bowl victory, as well as their updated betting odds courtesy of Caesars Sportsbook:

MORE NFL PLAYOFFS: Schedule | Bracket

NFL playoff power rankings 2024

1. San Francisco 49ers, NFC No. 1 seed (+215)

The 49ers should be considered the team to beat despite their bad loss to the Ravens. They also have less daunting challengers in their own conference than the Ravens, making their path to get to Las Vegas a little easier. Brock Purdy having key playoff experience helps, and they might already have a Lombardi Trophy with him minus that devastating QB situation in last year’s NFC title game. Kyle Shanahan’s loaded team has knocked on the door and looks ready to finally break it down.

2. Baltimore Ravens, AFC No. 1 seed (+330)

The Ravens are more likely to deliver in this prime position than they were in Lamar Jackson’s first MVP season four years ago. They are more dangerous and versatile with both the run and pass. They can rush the passer from many angles and cover a lot of ground in their back-seven. The run defense actually can be exploited, but that’s about their only weakness.

3. Kansas City Chiefs, AFC No. 3 seed (+950)

The Chiefs remain the “big bad” of the season despite their offensive powerhouse status being revoked in the most adverse campaign of Patrick Mahomes’ brilliant career. Do they have enough reliable wide receivers? Is Travis Kelce washed? Can they pivot to becoming a running team? Can they win a true road playoff game?

With the answers about to be revealed, it’s a mistake to doubt Mahomes and Andy Reid at this time of year, and the Chiefs also have a nasty defense. Until they are eliminated, no team in the field will feel comfortable.

4. Dallas Cowboys, NFC No. 2 seed (+750)

Is this the year? The Cowboys’ skeptics already point to the looming 49ers matchup that has been unkind to them the past two years, and there might even be some danger with the red-hot Packers coming into Dallas in Round 1. However, the Cowboys seem to have hit a different gear since midseason with an aggressive offensive approach led by Dak Prescott and CeeDee Lamb. This mindset gives them a real shot of going all the way.

Josh Allen

5. Buffalo Bills, AFC No. 2 seed (+650)

The Bills beat the Chiefs in Kansas City in the regular season, and their ascent from nearly falling out of the playoffs to right behind the Ravens is remarkable. However, they’re still living on the edge with Josh Allen’s interceptions and inconsistent defense. No one would be surprised if somehow they lost to the gritty Steelers or if they stampeded through the AFC with a Super Bowl exclamation point. If they get past the Chiefs again, this time at home, watch out.

6. Los Angeles Rams, NFC No. 6 seed (+5000)

The Rams are right up there among the most dangerous offenses in the playoffs. Their Super Bowl-winning experience from two years ago cannot be discounted with Matthew Stafford, Cooper Kupp, and Sean McVay in a groove together again, now with young sensations Puka Nacua and Kyren Williams. The defense is also stout against the run with Aaron Donald doing his thing. Watch out for more flashes that could allow them to make a surprise run.

7. Detroit Lions, NFC No. 3 seed (+2000)

The Lions aren’t just happy to be back in the playoffs as division champions after a 30-year drought. They want to roar loudly and be a factor in the NFC tournament. They can win offensively with Jared Goff’s passing or a lot of running from their talented RBs. They also shut down the run and can rush the passer. However, shaky pass coverage can be a major Achilles’ heel against the loaded

offenses in the playoffs.

Jared Goff, Amon-Ra St. Brown

8. Philadelphia Eagles, NFC No. 5 seed (+1400)

The Eagles are dealing with a lot of injuries on both sides of the ball, including Jalen Hurts (finger). They are literally limping into the playoffs, and their issues stopping the pass and finding a consistent traditional running game can’t suddenly be fixed by Nick Sirianni and the coaching staff. 

9. Cleveland Browns, AFC No. 5 seed (+2800)

There’s nothing fluky about Joe Flacco executing the offense. He’s locked into main weapons Amari Cooper and David Njoku, and despite offensive line injuries, Cleveland is fielding an explosive passing game instead of leaning on the run. The defense with Myles Garrett is the signature strength, but the concern is how well it can travel.

10. Houston Texans, AFC No. 4 seed (+4500)

The Texans have a chance to win at home in the wild-card round despite getting blown out by the Browns in Houston in Week 16 with C.J. Stroud back. He is an offensive game-changer, but the issue for the Texans is the consistency of the defense, especially against the run and downfield pass.

11. Miami Dolphins, AFC No. 6 seed (+1600)

The Dolphins have gone from an unstoppable offensive juggernaut to an injury-riddled mess with key pieces hurting on both sides of the ball. They need Jaylen Waddle (ankle) back for the playoffs to have any shot at the Chiefs, against whom they struggled in the 21-14 Week 9 loss in Germany. Miami just doesn’t seem to have enough to be more than one-and-done again even with a healthy Tua Tagovailoa this time.

Jordan Love

12. Green Bay Packers, NFC No. 7 seed (+10000)

The Packers made the playoffs in the first season with Jordan Love as their starting quarterback, something they didn’t do in the last season with Aaron Rodgers. They had a lot of documented defensive dysfunction, but in the end, the playmaking of Love with a variety of talented young weapons outweighed his lumps. That said, the Cowboys are a tough initial draw for them.

13. Tampa Bay Buccaneers, NFC No. 4 seed (+8000)

Baker Mayfield taking over for Tom Brady and leading Tampa to a third consecutive division title is among the season’s best storylines. Mayfield had plenty of help from the running game with breakout back Rachaad White, and Todd Bowles continued to scheme up the defense well despite numerous injuries. They could win a game, but the matchups against any of the top three NFC seeds aren’t in their favor.

14. Pittsburgh Steelers, AFC No. 7 seed (+12500)

The Steelers scrapping to get to this point while on their third starting quarterback with an offense in transition and defense battling through key injuries has been one of Mike Tomlin’s best coaching jobs. That said, they are a rather flawed team with well-rounded weaknesses, and Mason Rudolph is easily the shakiest QB in the field.

Source : ESPN.com

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