C.J. Stroud MVP odds: Can Texans QB become rare rookie to win NFL’s top on-field award?

The Texans had low expectations coming into the 2023 NFL season, but 10 weeks into it, they find themselves in the thick of the AFC playoff race.

C.J. Stroud has been the catalyst behind that. The rookie has been among the best quarterbacks in the NFL and helped the Texans win for the fifth time in seven games on Sunday against the Bengals.

Stroud led the Texans on a game-winning drive in the final minute of the fourth quarter for the second consecutive week. It culminated in a walk-off, 38-yard field goal by Matt Ammendola that propelled Houston to a 5-4 record.

Stroud’s heroics have the NFL world paying close attention to him, and it has many wondering whether he can work his way into the MVP race.

MORE: Texans move into NFL playoff spot with win over Bengals

Here’s a look at Stroud’s chances of taking home that award or whether he will merely be the shoo-in Offensive Rookie of the Year.

C.J. Stroud MVP odds

C.J. Stroud has +2500 odds to win NFL MVP, according to odds from Caesar’s Sportsbook. Those odds are tied for the eighth-shortest among NFL players and give him an implied 3.8 percent chance of winning the award.

C.J. Stroud stats

Stroud has led the Texans to a surprising 5-4 record this season and he has done so while being one of the NFL’s most efficient quarterbacks. He is among the league leaders in passer rating and has thrown 15 touchdowns compared to just two interceptions on the season.

Below is a full look at Stroud’s stats through his nine starts thus far.

Stat Total
Comp. % 61.6
Passing yards 2,626
Pass TDs 15
Yards per attempt 8.3
INTs 2
Passer rating 101.0
Carries 22
Rushing yards 76
Rush TDs 2

Certainly, Stroud’s excellent numbers have him looking like a strong MVP candidate in a year without a clear-cut leader for the award. If he can win it, he will join a very short list of rookies to take home the award.

MORE: Breaking down C.J. Stroud’s game-winning drive vs. the Bengals

Has a rookie ever won NFL MVP?

Yes, there has been one player to win the NFL’s MVP award during his rookie season. That would be Jim Brown, who took home the honor after his stellar 1957 season with the Browns.

Brown led the NFL with 942 yards and nine touchdowns across 12 games during his rookie year. The Browns posted a 9-2-1 record and ranked third league-wide with 22.4 points per game thanks, in part, to Brown’s greatness.

Brown was an eight-time All-Pro and a three-time MVP during his career and is regarded, by many, as the greatest running back in NFL history. So, if Stroud can join the Hall of Famer on that list, he would certainly be in good company.

But the Texans star still has a ways to go before he can move up the NFL’s MVP power rankings.

NFL MVP odds 2023

Below is a look at the players with better than 50-1 odds to win NFL MVP odds for 2023, per Caesar’s Sportsbook.

Player Odds
Patrick Mahomes +280
Jalen Hurts +350
Lamar Jackson +400
Tua Tagovailoa +600
Joe Burrow +750
Christian McCaffrey +1800
Brock Purdy +1800
C.J. Stroud +2500
Josh Allen +2500
Jared Goff +3000
Tyreek Hill +4000
Trevor Lawrence +5000

Source : ESPN.com

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