Another slate of NBA In-Season Tournament action tips off tonight, with five games between 7:00 and 10:00 p.m. ET. The 76ers and Cavaliers highlight the early portion of the Tuesday evening pre-Thanksgiving offerings, while the Lakers-Jazz serves as an intriguing nightcap. We also get a chance to see both Tyrese Haliburton and Devin Booker, two blazing-hot guards who highlight our four favorite SuperDraft player props for the evening.
Nobody has been dishing the rock better than Hali and Book throughout the first month of the 2023-24 NBA season, so betting their OVERs on assist totals has been easy money. Keep reading to see if we’re continuing that trend despite their projections continuing to rise as the season progresses.
If you’ve tailed my SuperDraft props this season, you’re likely putting together a pretty good nest egg for Black Friday shopping. We have hit all four of our top props three times already in the past three weeks, and we’re ready to carry that momentum into Tuesday night for some In-Season Tournament action.
You know our M.O. by now: we do the research and find the best values on the SuperDraft player prop market. We deep-dive split stats and matchup data, look for angles to attack, then share the picks we’ve pinpointed for you in a concise little column. It’s as simple as StoveTop Stuffing and canned cranberry sauce, and it usually produces similarly appealing results.
Let’s get to our picks and break down four of our favorite player props on SuperDraft for Tuesday night’s NBA In-Season Tournament slate. Remember: you don’t necessarily have to combine all four picks together. You could make separate two-leg parlays to increase your win probability, or you could attempt to hit it big if all four picks come through. Good luck, have fun, and have a happy and safe Thanksgiving with your loved ones!
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Best NBA prop bets today: Top player prop picks
1. Tyrese Haliburton, PG, Pacers at Hawks — OVER 12 assists
Haliburton hasn’t just looked like an All-Star through 12 games — he’s looked like an All-NBA player. His phenomenal shooting — 50/40/90 and some change — and per-game average of 23.5 points per game would be impressive enough on their own. Combine those factors with his dazzling playmaking and league-leading 11.6 assists per game, and you’re talking about a generational talent continuing to bloom in front of our eyes.
In Indiana’s last game on Sunday, Hali managed just three assists in an 11-point loss to the young Magic. The L and the low dime-count must be eating the third-year point guard up right now. That was just the second time all season that he finished with single-digit assists, a fate we don’t expect to occur two games in a row. He collected a combined 32 helpers over his previous two games, so we like him to hit 13-plus tonight against fellow elite playmaker Trae Young and the Hawks.
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2. Devin Booker, G, Suns at Trail Blazers — OVER 7.5 assists
Booker has made it a point to make his teammates involved offensively this season, silencing anyone who doubted his ability to run point for a superteam. CP who? Book averages 9.8 assists per game, 2.1 more than former Suns “point god” Chris Paul. He has bested this 7.5-dime projection in four of the five games he’s played this season, and we have no reason to believe he’ll finish with seven or fewer tonight.
The Blazers have been worse than bad this season. They’re 3-10 with a -10.7 average point differential, and they enter this evening on a seven-game losing streak. Book won’t need to score 30 points for Phoenix to win this game. Plus, he’s had dozens of high-volume scoring nights throughout his storied nine-year career. For him to put himself on the MVP map, he should continue hunting double-doubles and maintain his 50/40/90 shooting efficiency. He might have eight dimes by the fourth quarter tonight.
3. Tobias Harris, F, 76ers vs. Cavaliers — OVER 16.5 points
The post-Harden narrative in Philadelphia has been dominated by Tyrese Maxey, but let’s not overlook how great Harris has been this season. The veteran forward is averaging 20/7/3 with shooting splits of 55/35/89 and an effective field goal percentage of .602 (the highest of his career). He’s enjoying a career resurgence in season 13, and it’s clearly working for the 10-3 Sixers.
Harris has also seen more playing time than ever before, averaging a career-high 36.3 minutes per game with Nick Nurse as the new sheriff in town. With Cleveland missing top wing defender Isaac Okoro tonight — and the twin towers of Evan Mobley and Jarrett Allen focused on stopping reigning MVP Joel Embiid — look for Harris to surpass the 16-point mark for the 11th time in 14 games this season.
4. Lauri Markkanen, F, Jazz at Lakers — OVER 8.5 rebounds
This one feels like the riskiest of the four props we’re highlighting, but we like our chances with Walker Kessler remaining out with an elbow injury. John Collins has been starting at center, which likely forces the former Hawk into the unenviable task of defending (and boxing out) Anthony Davis. That would leave Markkanen with either LeBron James or Cam Reddish, both of whom the All-Star has a height advantage over.
Offensive rebounding might push us over the top with this prop. The Lakers are a top-five defensive rebounding squad, but they average the second-fewest offensive boards in the NBA while allowing opponents to rack up 11.7 offensive boards per game (seventh-most). Markkanen might not rip down 17 boards like he did in his remarkable 50-minute performance against the Suns over the weekend, but he should be able to use his 7-foot, 240-pound frame to tally at least nine total boards for the eighth time in 14 games.
Source : ESPN.com