Best NBA prop bets today: Jayson Tatum, Chet Holmgren highlight top over/under picks for Tuesday

With the holiday weekend in the rearview mirror, it’s back to the grind for hoops bettors and back to In-Season Tournament action for the NBA. Tonight’s slate actually marks the final stage of the first round of the IST, so we should be in for an exciting evening of basketball. Naturally, as we do with any in-season tourney action, we will share our four favorite SuperDraft player props with you today. 

We’ve had ourselves a grand old time playing over/under player prop parlays on SuperDraft. Four of our four-prop parlays have hit over the past month, including this Joker/Zinger/Big V big-man banger that brought the house down. We’ve also hit on three of our four props twice in the past week, losing out on perfection by a Lauri Markkanen half-rebound in a runaway game and then missing a Kawhi Leonard OVER by three points in an uncharacteristically bad shooting night for the Claw. 

Still, like Hansel in Zoolander, we’re so hot right now. We’re dialed in and ready to rock with four more high-confidence player prop picks, and we hope you’ll join in on the fun with us. We do all the dirty work for you — we do the research and find the best values on the SuperDraft prop market. It’s a simple yet logical process, unlike the countless In-Season Tournament scenarios going into this evening. 

Let’s get to our picks and break down four of our favorite player props on SuperDraft for Tuesday night’s loaded NBA slate. Remember: you don’t necessarily have to combine all four picks together. You could make separate two-leg or three-leg parlays to increase your win probability, or you could attempt to hit it big if all four picks come through. Good luck, have fun, and enjoy what should be a fun night of In-Season Tournament action!

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Best NBA prop bets today: Top player prop picks for Tuesday’s In-Season Tournament action

1. Jayson Tatum, F, Celtics vs. Bulls — OVER 29.5 points

The only question we ever had about the Celtics’ All-Star roster going into this season was “What will they do if someone in their main rotation gets hurt?” After Boston’s first game without stud center Kristaps Porziņģis, who sustained a calf injury against Orlando four days ago and has no timetable to return, we know the short-term answer: Feed JT early and often. 

Tatum scored 34 points on 11-of-25 shooting in the Celts’ 10-point victory over Atlanta on Sunday. He stroked five three-pointers and got to the line 10 times, sinking seven free throws. Expect more of the same aggressive offense from Boston’s reigning All-NBA First Teamer, especially considering the Bulls always have trouble guarding him.

JT averaged 30.5 points per game against Chicago last season and has bested 32 points against Billy Donovan’s squad in two of the past three meetings between these franchises. We usually don’t like over/under points props quite this high, but with KP out and the combo of Jaylen Brown and Jrue Holiday struggling with their shots lately, this feels like a lock. Good luck to DeMar DeRozan, Zach LaVine, Patrick Williams, and whoever else gets stuck guarding JT.

MORE SUPERDRAFT DFS & FANTASY PROPS: How to play SuperDraft

2. Alperen Şengün, C, Rockets at Mavericks — OVER 10.5 rebounds

Şengün has been awesome in Houston’s first season under head coach Ime Udoka, with the proverbial training wheels clearly removed from the Turkish 21-year-old in his third NBA season. The 6-11, 235-pound center has averaged 22.1 points, 9.9 rebounds, and 4.8 assists per game over the Rockets’ past seven games and has 45 total boards over his past four contests.

While Dallas has improved considerably in many areas since last season, it still stinks on the glass. The Mavericks rank 22nd in the NBA in offensive, defensive, and total rebounds per game, and they have allowed the second-most total rebounds (46.7 per game) and fifth-most defensive rebounds (34.9) in the Association.

Making matters worse, top Mavs rookie big man Dereck Lively II has been dealing with a back injury and could miss his second straight contest. We like Alpy to feast on the boards this evening, especially if Dwight Powell and Richaun Holmes serve as his only competition. 

3. Chet Holmgren, C, Thunder at Timberwolves — UNDER 7.5 rebounds

Holmgren has been on a warpath lately, perhaps setting his sights on an All-Star selection to go with a likely All-Rookie selection. The OKC big has scored 33-plus points in two of the Thunder’s past four games, and he has ripped down double-digit rebounds in three of OKC’s past five. So, why are we betting his UNDER on 7.5 boards tonight? Well, because he’s failed to reach eight rebounds in six of OKC’s past nine, and Minnesota remains one of the best rebounding squads in the Association, ranking second in defensive rebounds, second in fewest defensive rebounds allowed, and seventh in fewest total rebounds allowed).  

Holmgren will also be called upon to pack a scoring punch against Minnesota, which has been one of the stronger defensive squads in the league throughout the early going. With Jalen Williams set to play his first game in 10 days after missing three contests with a hip injury, Josh Giddey under league investigation and shooting 8-of-25 over the past two games, and Shai Gilgeous-Alexander likely to garner a ton of defensive attention from Mike Conley, Anthony Edwards, and Kyle Anderson, Holmgren will need to pour in the points to keep the Thunder in this one. We have him projected for a max of six or seven rebounds this evening. 

4. Dennis Schröder, PG, Raptors at Nets — OVER 15.5 points 

Schröder has enjoyed a fantastic year. He led Germany to the gold in the FIBA Championship this summer, and he’s the Raptors’ third-leading scorer at 16.8 points per game in his first season north of the border. We expect the good times to continue rolling tonight for the veteran point guard with below-average defenders Spencer Dinwiddie and Dennis Smith Jr. likely guarding him for the majority of the night.

Point guards have eaten well against Brooklyn over the past couple of weeks. During that span, they got burnt by Trae Young for 43 points, Tyrese Maxey for 25 points, and Coby White for 23 points. Sixteen should be an easy get for Schröder — he’s hit that mark in five of Toronto’s past six games and only missed it by one point his last time out. 

Source : ESPN.com

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